Making Predictions with Probability
How can we use what we know about probability to make smart guesses about the future? We will learn to use both theoretical and experimental data to predict outcomes.
About This Topic
How can we use what we know about probability to make smart guesses about the future? We will learn to use both theoretical and experimental data to predict outcomes.
Key Questions
- Explain how you would use the fraction representing the probability of an event to predict how many times it will occur in 100 trials.
- Justify your prediction for which colour is most likely to be picked from a bag containing 7 green, 4 blue, and 2 yellow candies.
- Analyze a set of experimental data to predict the outcome of the next trial.
Active Learning Ideas
See all activities→Activities & Teaching Strategies
See all activities
Planning templates for Mathematics
5E Model
The 5E Model structures lessons through five phases (Engage, Explore, Explain, Elaborate, and Evaluate), guiding students from curiosity to deep understanding through inquiry-based learning.
Unit PlannerMath Unit
Plan a multi-week math unit with conceptual coherence: from building number sense and procedural fluency to applying skills in context and developing mathematical reasoning across a connected sequence of lessons.
RubricMath Rubric
Build a math rubric that assesses problem-solving, mathematical reasoning, and communication alongside procedural accuracy, giving students feedback on how they think, not just whether they got the right answer.
More in Probability
The Language of Likelihood
Let's learn the words we use to talk about chance, from events that are impossible to those that are certain to happen.
8 methodologies
Probability as a Fraction
We can use fractions to show the exact probability of an event happening. Let's discover how to represent the chance of an outcome as a part of a whole.
8 methodologies
Conducting Experiments
Let's get hands-on. We will design and conduct simple probability experiments, like flipping coins or spinning spinners, to gather data and test our predictions.
8 methodologies