Activity 01
Inquiry Circle: Correlation vs. Causation Debate
Small groups receive three data sets showing strong correlations on school-relevant topics (ice cream sales and drowning rates, shoe size and reading ability, etc.). Groups must determine whether each correlation suggests causation, identify a plausible confounding variable, and present their reasoning to the class. Discussion focuses on what additional data would be needed to establish a causal claim.
Analyze how different types of data can support or challenge a research hypothesis.
Facilitation TipDuring Collaborative Investigation, assign roles such as data reader, trend analyzer, and skeptic to ensure all students contribute to the debate.
What to look forProvide students with a simple scatter plot showing a positive correlation between ice cream sales and shark attacks. Ask: 'Does this data prove that eating ice cream causes shark attacks? Explain your reasoning, using the terms correlation and causation.'