Activity 01
Simulation Game: Winners and Losers from Surprise Inflation
Assign each student one of six economic roles: a fixed-wage worker, a variable-rate mortgage borrower, a retiree on a fixed pension, a bank holding 30-year fixed mortgages, a small business owner with debt, and a landlord with long-term leases. Students receive news that inflation has unexpectedly jumped to 8% and estimate the real-dollar impact on their character, classifying themselves as a winner, loser, or neutral. Groups of mixed roles then debate whose situation is most problematic.
Analyze who benefits and who is harmed by unexpected inflation.
Facilitation TipDuring the simulation, assign clear roles with different inflation assumptions and debt levels so the redistribution becomes visible in real time.
What to look forPresent students with two scenarios: one describing unexpected inflation and another describing deflation. Ask them to identify one specific group that would likely benefit and one group that would likely be harmed in each scenario, and briefly explain why.